AVB
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. · $185.61 (-1.2%) · mkt cap $26.5B · P/E 25.5
4 hub catalysts across 2 sources · backtest → · ← Ticker Explorer
SEC EDGAR FilingsU.S. Senate — Congressional Trades
Signal summary
Signals divergeBullish and bearish forces are in conflict here — weigh both columns.
70▲ Bullishconviction from hub signals
Bullish factors
- Congress bought (1)
- 1 analyst upgrade
Bearish factors
- 3 analyst downgrades
- Insiders net selling (9 vs 0)
Signal mix for AVB
Which data feeds have fired on this name — hover a slice for counts.
Best strategy
2-yr backtest · by SharpeZ-Score Mean-Reversion has fit AVB best over 2 years (+36.5%, Sharpe 0.93). Historical/in-sample — walk-forward all 19 →
| # | Strategy | Return | Sharpe | Beats B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z-Score Mean-Reversion | +36.5% | 0.93 | ✓ |
| 2 | CCI Mean-Reversion | +39.3% | 0.90 | ✓ |
| 3 | Bollinger Bands | +19.2% | 0.64 | ✓ |
Price — 1 year
daily closeInsider activity
0 open-market buysOfficers & directors trading their own stock (SEC Form 4). Buys are bullish; sells shown for context.
| Date | Action | Insider | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | SELL | Willson Sean Thomas | 150 | $27K |
| 2025-08-07 | SELL | Willson Sean Thomas | 150 | $28K |
| 2025-06-16 | SELL | O'Shea Kevin P | 6,000 | $1.2M |
| 2025-06-13 | SELL | Schulman Edward M | 5,945 | $1.2M |
| 2024-11-13 | SELL | Naughton Timothy James | 26,458 | $6.2M |
| 2024-08-15 | SELL | Breslin Sean Joseph | 4,000 | $862K |
| 2024-08-06 | SELL | Shea Keri A | 2,861 | $592K |
| 2024-08-06 | SELL | O'Shea Kevin P | 10,000 | $2.1M |
| 2024-08-05 | SELL | Birenbaum Matthew H | 5,000 | $1.0M |
Analyst ratings
live · 5 changes| Date | Action | Analyst | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Downgrade | Barclays | Overweight → Equal-Weight |
| 2026-03-26 | Downgrade | Morgan Stanley | Overweight → Equal-Weight |
| 2025-12-04 | Downgrade | Colliers Securities | Buy → Neutral |
| 2025-11-25 | Upgrade | Barclays | Equal-Weight → Overweight |
| 2025-10-01 | Initiated | Cantor Fitzgerald | Neutral |
Catalyst timeline
4 hub signals| Date | Source | Event | Entity | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | SEC EDGAR Filings | 8-K Event | AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC | source ↗ | |
| 2026-07-23 | SEC EDGAR Filings | 8-K Event | AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC | source ↗ | |
| 2026-06-08 | SEC EDGAR Filings | 8-K Event | AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC | source ↗ | |
| 2026-03-27 | U.S. Senate — Congressional Trades | Congress BUY | Armstrong, Alan (Senator) | $1,001 - $15,000 | source ↗ |
Alt-Data Signal Hub · collected signals updated 2026-08-01 09:16 UTC (refreshed daily) · market & option prices are always live on load · display-only, not advice