LOCO
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. · $16.46 (-0.1%) · mkt cap $501.3M · P/E 16.8
70 hub catalysts across 4 sources · backtest → · ← Ticker Explorer
Analyst Ratings (Upgrades/Downgrades)Insider Transactions (SEC Form 4)Financial News (Google News)SEC EDGAR Filings
Signal summary
Signals divergeBullish and bearish forces are in conflict here — weigh both columns.
100± Mixedconviction from hub signals
Bullish factors
- 6 analyst upgrades
Bearish factors
- 6 analyst downgrades
- Insiders net selling (7 vs 1)
Context (not directional): News flow (7 recent)
Signal mix for LOCO
Which data feeds have fired on this name — hover a slice for counts.
Best strategy
2-yr backtest · by SharpeZ-Score Mean-Reversion has fit LOCO best over 2 years (+64.5%, Sharpe 1.03). Historical/in-sample — walk-forward all 19 →
| # | Strategy | Return | Sharpe | Beats B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z-Score Mean-Reversion | +64.5% | 1.03 | ✓ |
| 2 | Buy & Hold (baseline) | +38.6% | 0.64 | |
| 3 | Connors RSI(2) | +32.0% | 0.58 |
Price — 1 year
daily closeInsider activity
1 open-market buysOfficers & directors trading their own stock (SEC Form 4). Buys are bullish; sells shown for context.
| Date | Action | Insider | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | SELL | Biglari Sardar | 11,000 | $184K |
| 2026-07-16 | SELL | Biglari Sardar | 10,493 | $175K |
| 2026-07-13 | SELL | Biglari Sardar | 75,000 | $1.3M |
| 2026-07-02 | SELL | Biglari Sardar | 141,946 | $2.4M |
| 2026-06-30 | SELL | Biglari Sardar | 222,600 | $3.7M |
| 2025-06-06 | SELL | Buller Mark | 11,363 | $125K |
| 2024-08-22 | BUY | Biglari Sardar | 344,247 | $4.5M |
| 2024-08-08 | SELL | Buller Mark | 10,500 | $123K |
Analyst ratings
live · 21 changes| Date | Action | Analyst | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Initiated | Freedom Capital Markets | Buy |
| 2026-03-13 | Upgrade | Benchmark | Hold → Buy |
| 2026-03-06 | Initiated | DA Davidson | Neutral |
| 2025-03-11 | Initiated | Craig-Hallum | Buy |
| 2021-11-12 | Initiated | Benchmark | Hold |
| 2021-02-08 | Downgrade | Truist Securities | Buy → Hold |
| 2020-04-01 | Upgrade | SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold → Buy |
| 2016-11-04 | Downgrade | William Blair | Outperform → Market Perform |
| 2016-11-04 | Downgrade | Wells Fargo | Outperform → Market Perform |
| 2016-07-26 | Downgrade | Stifel | Buy → Hold |
| 2016-04-27 | Downgrade | SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy → Neutral |
| 2016-01-13 | Initiated | Sidoti & Co. | Buy |
| 2015-11-30 | Initiated | Guggenheim | Buy |
| 2015-11-13 | Downgrade | Baird | Outperform → Neutral |
| 2015-10-08 | Initiated | SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy |
| 2015-08-28 | Upgrade | Stifel | Hold → Buy |
| 2015-01-06 | Upgrade | Jefferies | Hold → Buy |
| 2015-01-05 | Upgrade | Baird | Neutral → Outperform |
| 2014-12-03 | Upgrade | Morgan Stanley | Underperform → Equal-Weight |
| 2014-08-19 | Initiated | Morgan Stanley | Underweight |
| 2014-08-19 | Initiated | Baird | Neutral |
Catalyst timeline
70 hub signals| Date | Source | Event | Entity | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Financial News (Google News) | News | El Pollo Loco Holdings (LOCO) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy? - Yahoo Finance | 4 | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-30 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $5K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-30 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $5K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-30 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $5K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-30 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $5K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-30 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $5K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $55K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $55K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $55K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $55K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $55K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $55K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $55K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $55K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $55K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $55K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-17 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $184K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-17 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $184K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-17 | Insider Transactions (SEC Form 4) | Insider SELL | Biglari Sardar sold 11,000 sh | $184K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-17 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $184K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-17 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $184K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-17 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $184K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-16 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $46K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-16 | Financial News (Google News) | News | El Pollo Loco (NASDAQ: LOCO) major holder trims 10,493 shares - Stock Titan | 2 | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-16 | Financial News (Google News) | News | El Pollo Loco (NASDAQ: LOCO) major holder trims 10,493 shares - Stock Titan | 2 | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-16 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $46K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-16 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $46K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-16 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $46K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-16 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $46K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-16 | Financial News (Google News) | News | El Pollo Loco (NASDAQ: LOCO) major holder trims 10,493 shares - Stock Titan | 2 | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-16 | Insider Transactions (SEC Form 4) | Insider SELL | Biglari Sardar sold 10,493 sh | $175K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-15 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $109K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-15 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $109K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-15 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $109K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-15 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $109K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-15 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $109K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-14 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $20K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-14 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $20K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-14 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $20K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-14 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $20K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-14 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $20K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-13 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $1.3M | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-13 | Insider Transactions (SEC Form 4) | Insider SELL | Biglari Sardar sold 75,000 sh | $1.3M | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-13 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $1.3M | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-02 | Insider Transactions (SEC Form 4) | Insider SELL | Biglari Sardar sold 141,946 sh | $2.4M | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | Financial News (Google News) | News | El Pollo Loco (LOCO): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q1 Earnings? - Yahoo Finance | 5 | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | Financial News (Google News) | News | El Pollo Loco (LOCO): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q1 Earnings? - Yahoo Finance | 9 | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-01 | Analyst Ratings (Upgrades/Downgrades) | Analyst Initiated | Freedom Capital Markets: Initiated (Buy) | source ↗ | |
| 2026-07-01 | Financial News (Google News) | News | El Pollo Loco (LOCO): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q1 Earnings? - StockStory | 7 | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $382K | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $382K | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $382K | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $382K | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | Insider Transactions (SEC Form 4) | Insider SELL | Biglari Sardar sold 222,600 sh | $3.7M | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-30 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $382K | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $1.7M | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $1.7M | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $1.7M | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $1.7M | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-29 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $1.7M | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $1.7M | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $1.7M | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $1.7M | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $1.7M | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-26 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | BIGLARI, SARDAR | $1.7M | source ↗ |
| 2026-03-13 | Analyst Ratings (Upgrades/Downgrades) | Analyst Upgrade | Benchmark: Upgrade (Hold → Buy) | source ↗ | |
| 2026-03-06 | Analyst Ratings (Upgrades/Downgrades) | Analyst Initiated | DA Davidson: Initiated (Neutral) | source ↗ | |
| 2025-06-06 | Insider Transactions (SEC Form 4) | Insider SELL | Buller Mark sold 11,363 sh | $125K | source ↗ |
| 2024-08-22 | Insider Transactions (SEC Form 4) | Insider BUY | Biglari Sardar bought 344,247 sh | $4.5M | source ↗ |
| 2024-08-08 | Insider Transactions (SEC Form 4) | Insider SELL | Buller Mark sold 10,500 sh | $123K | source ↗ |
Alt-Data Signal Hub · collected signals updated 2026-08-01 09:17 UTC (refreshed daily) · market & option prices are always live on load · display-only, not advice