PGR
The Progressive Corporation · $211.42 (-0.9%) · mkt cap $122.9B · P/E 10.6
6 hub catalysts across 3 sources · backtest → · ← Ticker Explorer
U.S. House — Congressional TradesSEC EDGAR FilingsU.S. Senate — Congressional Trades
Signal summary
Signals divergeBullish and bearish forces are in conflict here — weigh both columns.
100± Mixedconviction from hub signals
Bullish factors
- Congress bought (2)
- 1 analyst upgrade
Bearish factors
- Congress sold (1)
- 1 analyst downgrade
- Insiders net selling (12 vs 0)
Signal mix for PGR
Which data feeds have fired on this name — hover a slice for counts.
Best strategy
2-yr backtest · by SharpeCCI Mean-Reversion has fit PGR best over 2 years (+73.1%, Sharpe 1.23). Historical/in-sample — walk-forward all 19 →
| # | Strategy | Return | Sharpe | Beats B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CCI Mean-Reversion | +73.1% | 1.23 | ✓ |
| 2 | Stochastic Oscillator | +62.2% | 1.09 | ✓ |
| 3 | Williams %R | +62.2% | 1.09 | ✓ |
Price — 1 year
daily closeInsider activity
0 open-market buysOfficers & directors trading their own stock (SEC Form 4). Buys are bullish; sells shown for context.
| Date | Action | Insider | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | SELL | Quigg Andrew J | 3,499 | $770K |
| 2026-07-27 | SELL | Murphy John Joseph | 8,124 | $1.7M |
| 2026-07-27 | SELL | Griffith Susan Patricia | 37,338 | $7.9M |
| 2026-07-27 | SELL | Bauer Jonathan S | 2,242 | $477K |
| 2026-07-27 | SELL | Bailo Karen | 8,452 | $1.8M |
| 2026-07-23 | SELL | Broz Steven | 1,156 | $237K |
| 2026-06-24 | SELL | Kelly Jeffrey D | 7,000 | $1.5M |
| 2026-06-22 | SELL | Broz Steven | 1,157 | $237K |
| 2026-06-05 | SELL | Murphy John Joseph | 5,916 | $1.2M |
| 2026-06-05 | SELL | Broz Steven | 1,157 | $231K |
| 2026-04-16 | SELL | Johnson Devin C | 980 | $199K |
| 2026-03-20 | SELL | Joyce Carl G. | 270 | $56K |
Analyst ratings
live · 2 changes| Date | Action | Analyst | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Upgrade | Morgan Stanley | Underweight → Equal-Weight |
| 2026-07-14 | Downgrade | JP Morgan | Overweight → Neutral |
Catalyst timeline
6 hub signals| Date | Source | Event | Entity | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | Bailo Karen | $1.8M | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-27 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | Bauer Jonathan S. | $477K | source ↗ |
| 2026-07-23 | SEC EDGAR Filings | Insider SELL | Broz Steven | $237K | source ↗ |
| 2026-06-16 | U.S. House — Congressional Trades | Congress BUY | Hon. Gilbert Cisneros | $1,001 - $15,000 | source ↗ |
| 2026-04-27 | U.S. House — Congressional Trades | Congress BUY | Hon. David J. Taylor | $1,001 - $15,000 | source ↗ |
| 2026-03-27 | U.S. Senate — Congressional Trades | Congress SELL | Armstrong, Alan (Senator) | $15,001 - $50,000 | source ↗ |
Alt-Data Signal Hub · collected signals updated 2026-07-29 09:16 UTC (refreshed daily) · market & option prices are always live on load · display-only, not advice